Atletico Paranaense 1-0 Operario PR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 28 Sep 2025

Atletico Paranaense
1-0 HT 1-0
Operario PR
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Atletico Paranaense vs Operario PR Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.85
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
60%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.4pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Paranaense v Operario PR — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Operario PR EU Bookmakers 18%
-11% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
1.86/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.29
-23% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
23.6 Crosses 15.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Atletico Paranaense vs Operario PR Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Paranaense
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Operario PR
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
0.77 xG 0.99
54% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
370 Passes 256
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
01.06.2025 Operario PR Operario PR 2-2 HT 2-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR2
12.02.2023 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 3-1 HT 1-1 Operario PR Operario PR BRPR
27.02.2022 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 1-2 HT 0-2 Operario PR Operario PR BRPR
17.04.2021 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 0-4 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BRPR

Atletico Paranaense 1-0 Operario PR — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Paranaense
1-0
AWAY Operario PR
0.57 xG 0.47
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
209 Passes 434
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 6
4 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Paranaense vs Operario PR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Paranaense squeezed past Operario PR 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Paranaense as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 36% of the ball to Operario PR's 64%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.57 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Operario PR led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 2.25 for Operario PR.

What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Operario PR?

Atletico Paranaense 1-0 Operario PR in the Brazil - Serie B on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Operario PR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 58%, draw 27%, Operario PR 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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