Criciuma vs Paysandu Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Criciuma v Paysandu — Team-Based Signals
Criciuma vs Paysandu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BRE3
0-0
HT 0-0
Paysandu
BRE3
1-1
HT 1-1
Criciuma
BR2
4-1
HT 2-0
Paysandu
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Criciuma
BR2
Criciuma 2-4 Paysandu — Actual Match Statistics
Paysandu saw off Criciuma 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Criciuma carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Criciuma had 57% of the ball to Paysandu's 43%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.28 to 2.80.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Criciuma had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Criciuma and 0.50 for Paysandu.
What was the final score of Criciuma vs Paysandu?
Criciuma 2-4 Paysandu in the Brazil - Serie B on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Paysandu?
Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 59%, draw 25%, Paysandu 16%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.