Novorizontino vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Novorizontino v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals
Novorizontino vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Vila Nova
BR2
2-1
HT 2-0
Novorizontino
BR2
1-1
HT 0-1
Vila Nova
BR2
Novorizontino 1-1 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Novorizontino and Vila Nova couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Novorizontino at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Novorizontino had 64% of the ball to Vila Nova's 36%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 1.78 to 0.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novorizontino had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Novorizontino and 1.00 for Vila Nova.
What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Vila Nova?
Novorizontino 1-1 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Vila Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 53%, draw 28%, Vila Nova 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Novorizontino), BTTS No went the other way.