Novorizontino vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Novorizontino v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals
Novorizontino vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Vila Nova
BR2
2-1
HT 2-0
Novorizontino
BR2
1-1
HT 0-1
Vila Nova
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Novorizontino
BR2
Novorizontino 2-0 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Novorizontino saw off Vila Nova 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Novorizontino as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
On the day, Novorizontino had 46% of the ball to Vila Nova's 54%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.79 to 0.93.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vila Nova led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Novorizontino and 1.20 for Vila Nova.
What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Vila Nova?
Novorizontino 2-0 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Vila Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 45%, draw 29%, Vila Nova 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novorizontino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.