Santos 2-2 Ponte Preta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 31 Aug 2024

Santos
2-2 HT 2-0
Ponte Preta
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Santos vs Ponte Preta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.43
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
19.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 30% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
66%
-17.5pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.8pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+10.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.9pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santos v Ponte Preta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponte Preta EU Bookmakers 16%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.38/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.30
+17% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
26.4 Crosses 14.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

Santos vs Ponte Preta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ponte Preta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.78 xG 1.37
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
430 Passes 294
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.05.2024 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 1-2 HT 0-2 Santos Santos BR2
17.04.2021 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 3-0 HT 3-0 Santos Santos BREPAU
31.07.2020 Santos Santos 1-3 HT 1-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BREPAU
26.01.2018 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 1-2 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BREPAU
12.10.2017 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 1-1 HT 1-1 Santos Santos BR1
18.06.2017 Santos Santos 0-0 HT 0-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR1

Santos 2-2 Ponte Preta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
2-2
AWAY Ponte Preta
1.12 xG 0.53
74% Ball Possession 26%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
598 Passes 153
90% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 8
28 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santos vs Ponte Preta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos and Ponte Preta couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Santos at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Santos had 74% of the ball to Ponte Preta's 26%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.12 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santos and 1.50 for Ponte Preta.

What was the final score of Santos vs Ponte Preta?

Santos 2-2 Ponte Preta in the Brazil - Serie B on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos vs Ponte Preta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Santos 48%, draw 28%, Ponte Preta 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Santos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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