Chapecoense 1-1 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 31 Aug 2024

Chapecoense
1-1 HT 1-0
Botafogo SP
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Chapecoense vs Botafogo SP Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
15%
6.1
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.6pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.5pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.5pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chapecoense v Botafogo SP — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 30%
-11% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
1.20/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.97
-31% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
24.1 Crosses 17.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Chapecoense vs Botafogo SP Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chapecoense
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Botafogo SP
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.20 xG 1.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
321 Passes 263
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.05.2024 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-0 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
11.11.2023 Chapecoense Chapecoense 2-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
24.08.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-2 HT 0-2 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
10.01.2021 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 3-0 HT 2-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
06.10.2020 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2

Chapecoense 1-1 Botafogo SP — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chapecoense
1-1
AWAY Botafogo SP
0.88 xG 0.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
302 Passes 294
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chapecoense vs Botafogo SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chapecoense and Botafogo SP couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Chapecoense at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Chapecoense had 50% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 50%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.88 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chapecoense had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chapecoense and 0.80 for Botafogo SP.

What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Botafogo SP?

Chapecoense 1-1 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 43%, draw 30%, Botafogo SP 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chapecoense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chapecoense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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