Vila Nova 0-1 Novorizontino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 31 May 2025

Vila Nova
0-1 HT 0-1
Novorizontino
📅31/05/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2026

Vila Nova vs Novorizontino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.36
Over 2.5
38%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
6.85
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.2pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
70%
-7.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
30%
+7.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.6pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vila Nova v Novorizontino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vila Nova EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.31/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.10
-2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
19.7 Crosses 18.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9

Vila Nova vs Novorizontino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vila Nova
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Novorizontino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 1.04
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
273 Passes 240
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.08.2024 Novorizontino Novorizontino 2-0 HT 0-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
15.05.2024 Vila Nova Vila Nova 2-1 HT 0-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
30.07.2023 Novorizontino Novorizontino 3-1 HT 2-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
15.04.2023 Vila Nova Vila Nova 2-1 HT 2-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
31.07.2022 Novorizontino Novorizontino 1-1 HT 0-1 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
13.04.2022 Vila Nova Vila Nova 0-0 HT 0-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2

Vila Nova 0-1 Novorizontino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vila Nova
0-1
AWAY Novorizontino
0.84 xG 0.34
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 2
260 Passes 241
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 8
43 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Vila Nova vs Novorizontino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino edged past Vila Nova 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Novorizontino found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vila Nova had 55% of the ball to Novorizontino's 45%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 0.84 to 0.34 — on chances, Vila Nova could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vila Nova and 1.33 for Novorizontino.

What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?

Vila Nova 0-1 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Serie B on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 39%, draw 31%, Novorizontino 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vila Nova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vila Nova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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31 May 2025
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