Coritiba 2-1 Avai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.63
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.4pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coritiba EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Avai EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.19/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.10
+6% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
21.3 Crosses 15.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coritiba
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Avai
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.04 xG 1.10
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
341 Passes 362
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.08.2024 Coritiba Coritiba 1-0 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR2
12.05.2024 Avai Avai 1-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
27.08.2022 Coritiba Coritiba 1-0 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR1
10.05.2022 Avai Avai 2-1 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
21.08.2021 Avai Avai 1-2 HT 1-1 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
30.05.2021 Coritiba Coritiba 2-0 HT 1-0 Avai Avai BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coritiba
2-1
AWAY Avai
0.74 xG 0.59
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
226 Passes 309
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Coritiba vs Avai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coritiba edged past Avai 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Coritiba as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Coritiba had 42% of the ball to Avai's 58%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.74 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coritiba had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Coritiba and 0.67 for Avai.

What was the final score of Coritiba vs Avai?

Coritiba 2-1 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Avai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 47%, draw 28%, Avai 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coritiba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coritiba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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31 May 2025
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