Barcelona SC 1-1 Aucas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 28 Sep 2025

Barcelona SC
1 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Aucas
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.78
Over
48%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.0
No
52%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Barcelona SC The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Aucas The Market 21%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.67 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.94
0.82 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.89
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Weak
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona SC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Aucas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.26 xG 1.07
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
312 Passes 273
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.06.2025 Aucas Aucas 2-0 HT 1-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
02.11.2024 Aucas Aucas 1-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
13.05.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-1 HT 0-1 Aucas Aucas EKV1
08.10.2023 Aucas Aucas 3-2 HT 1-2 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
08.05.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 5-1 HT 2-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
14.11.2022 Aucas Aucas 0-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona SC
1 - 1
AWAY Aucas
1.41 xG 1.27
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 6
439 Passes 259
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 21
30 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Barcelona SC vs Aucas
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Barcelona SC and Aucas shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Barcelona SC carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring. At 1.72 (~58%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

Under the surface, Barcelona SC had 61% of the ball to Aucas's 39%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.41 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Barcelona SC and 1.33 for Aucas.

Barcelona SC vs Aucas Result & Final Score

Barcelona SC 1 - 1 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Barcelona SC vs Aucas Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 59%, draw 23%, Aucas 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Barcelona SC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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