El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa Prediction — Model Probabilities
El Nacional v Mushuc Runa — Team-Based Signals
El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
El Nacional 0-5 Mushuc Runa — Actual Match Statistics
Mushuc Runa ran out comfortable winners over El Nacional 5-0 on the road. Half-time: 0-2. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
From a near-even 39% / 29% / 32% read, it was Mushuc Runa who turned the coin-flip their way.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 54%.
The match data tells the story: Mushuc Runa saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.28 to 2.57.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Nacional had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for El Nacional against 0.83 for Mushuc Runa.
El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa Result & Final Score
El Nacional 0 - 5 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a El Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 39%, draw 29%, Mushuc Runa 32%. The final score 0-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.