Gyeongnam FC 1-0 Ansan Greeners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.98
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 33% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.80/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.16
+5% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
22.0 Crosses 10.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongnam FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ansan Greeners
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
433 Passes 276
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.07.2025 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
04.05.2025 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
30.10.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-1 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
22.05.2024 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
01.03.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-2 HT 1-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
28.10.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 4-2 HT 1-1 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gyeongnam FC
1-0
AWAY Ansan Greeners
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
363 Passes 183
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gyeongnam FC vs Ansan Greeners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongnam FC nicked a narrow win over Ansan Greeners 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gyeongnam FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gyeongnam FC had 63% of the ball to Ansan Greeners's 37%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gyeongnam FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gyeongnam FC and 1.00 for Ansan Greeners.

What was the final score of Gyeongnam FC vs Ansan Greeners?

Gyeongnam FC 1-0 Ansan Greeners in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongnam FC vs Ansan Greeners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongnam FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gyeongnam FC 47%, draw 25%, Ansan Greeners 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gyeongnam FC), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gyeongnam FC) ✓ Under 2.5
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