Saburtalo vs Gareji Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Saburtalo v Gareji — Team-Based Signals
Saburtalo vs Gareji Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Saburtalo 1-1 Gareji — Actual Match Statistics
Saburtalo and Gareji shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
This one beat our numbers. Saburtalo carried 72% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Saburtalo had 53% of the ball to Gareji's 47%, shots finished 9-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Saburtalo had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Saburtalo and 1.00 for Gareji.
What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Gareji?
Saburtalo 1-1 Gareji in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Gareji?
Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 72%, draw 18%, Gareji 11%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.