Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 Orijent 1919 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Orijent 1919 EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.33/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.62/0.35
-57% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +127% / +118%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
263 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Croatia Zmijavci
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Orijent 1919
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2025 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 2-0 HT 1-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
27.10.2024 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 1-1 HT 1-0 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
17.08.2024 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 0-0 HT 0-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
27.04.2024 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 3-0 HT 2-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
16.03.2024 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 1-1 HT 1-1 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Croatia Zmijavci
1-0
AWAY Orijent 1919
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Croatia Zmijavci vs Orijent 1919
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croatia Zmijavci edged past Orijent 1919 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Orijent 1919 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Croatia Zmijavci had 48% of the ball to Orijent 1919's 52%, shots finished 8-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Orijent 1919 led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Croatia Zmijavci and 1.40 for Orijent 1919.

What was the final score of Croatia Zmijavci vs Orijent 1919?

Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 Orijent 1919 in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Croatia Zmijavci vs Orijent 1919?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orijent 1919 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Croatia Zmijavci 30%, draw 28%, Orijent 1919 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Orijent 1919) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orijent 1919) ✓ Under 2.5
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