Croatia Zmijavci 1-1 Orijent 1919 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
2.05
Draw
24%
2.83
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.59
Over 2.5
30%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
29%
1.96
No
71%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
45%
+9.9pp
24%
Draw
32%
-7.8pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-2.3pp
70%
Under 2.5
59%
+11.5pp
30%
Over 2.5
41%
-11.5pp
29%
BTTS Yes
47%
-17.8pp
71%
BTTS No
53%
+17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Orijent 1919 EU Bookmakers 26%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.29/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.11
-6% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Croatia Zmijavci
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Orijent 1919
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
17.08.2024 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 0-0 HT 0-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
27.04.2024 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 3-0 HT 2-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
16.03.2024 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 1-1 HT 1-1 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Croatia Zmijavci
1-1
AWAY Orijent 1919
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Croatia Zmijavci vs Orijent 1919
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croatia Zmijavci and Orijent 1919 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Croatia Zmijavci at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (71%) missed.

On the day, Croatia Zmijavci had 58% of the ball to Orijent 1919's 42%, shots finished 12-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Orijent 1919 led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Croatia Zmijavci and 1.33 for Orijent 1919.

What was the final score of Croatia Zmijavci vs Orijent 1919?

Croatia Zmijavci 1-1 Orijent 1919 in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Croatia Zmijavci vs Orijent 1919?

Before kick-off our model rated a Croatia Zmijavci win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Croatia Zmijavci 55%, draw 24%, Orijent 1919 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Croatia Zmijavci), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Croatia Zmijavci) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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