Vukovar 1-0 Radnik Sesvete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒15:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.6
Over 2.5
52%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
28%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
58%
-1.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
59%
-10.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
41%
+10.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.2pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vukovar EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 21%
-20% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.47/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.41
-9% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vukovar
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Radnik Sesvete
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.08.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 0-1 HT 0-1 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2
03.05.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 0-1 HT 0-0 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
24.11.2023 Vukovar Vukovar 3-1 HT 1-1 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vukovar
1-0
AWAY Radnik Sesvete
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vukovar vs Radnik Sesvete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar squeezed past Radnik Sesvete 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vukovar as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Vukovar had 55% of the ball to Radnik Sesvete's 45%, shots finished 9-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vukovar had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vukovar and 0.67 for Radnik Sesvete.

What was the final score of Vukovar vs Radnik Sesvete?

Vukovar 1-0 Radnik Sesvete in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vukovar vs Radnik Sesvete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Vukovar 57%, draw 22%, Radnik Sesvete 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vukovar), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vukovar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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