Jarun 2-1 Zrinski Jurjevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
34%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-10.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
33%
Away Win
20%
+13.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Zrinski Jurjevac EU Bookmakers 22%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.33
+32% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -46%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarun
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Zrinski Jurjevac
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Zrinski Jurjevac 0-2 HT 0-1 Jarun Jarun HIR2
12.05.2024 Jarun Jarun 1-2 HT 1-1 Zrinski Jurjevac HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
2-1
AWAY Zrinski Jurjevac
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jarun vs Zrinski Jurjevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarun squeezed past Zrinski Jurjevac 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jarun as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jarun had 53% of the ball to Zrinski Jurjevac's 47%, shots finished 17-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jarun and 1.00 for Zrinski Jurjevac.

What was the final score of Jarun vs Zrinski Jurjevac?

Jarun 2-1 Zrinski Jurjevac in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs Zrinski Jurjevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarun win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jarun 43%, draw 23%, Zrinski Jurjevac 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jarun) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jarun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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