Sham Shui Po vs Yuen Long Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sham Shui Po v Yuen Long — Team-Based Signals
Sham Shui Po vs Yuen Long Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Sham Shui Po 2-2 Yuen Long — Actual Match Statistics
Sham Shui Po and Yuen Long couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
The preview numbers (39% / 21% / 40%) promised nothing between these sides, and the point apiece bears that out. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (65%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Yuen Long saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 13-6.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Sham Shui Po against 0.67 for Yuen Long.
Sham Shui Po vs Yuen Long Result & Final Score
Sham Shui Po 2 - 2 Yuen Long in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sham Shui Po vs Yuen Long Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Yuen Long win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sham Shui Po 39%, draw 21%, Yuen Long 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yuen Long) went the other way.