Heerenveen (K) 1-3 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 28 Sep 2025

Heerenveen (K) LLLLD→
1 - 3 HT 0 - 2
Excelsior Barendrecht (K) DLLLL→
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Heerenveen (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 02:36
Match Result
HomeVIEW
67%
1.43
Draw
17%
4.36
Away
16%
5.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.14
Over
60%
1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
45%
4-5
28%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Heerenveen (K) v Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Heerenveen (K) The Market 70%
Signal
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K) The Market 17%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
2.04 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.93
0.93 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.12
Strong Attack Strength Bad
Weak Defense Strength Bad
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1

Heerenveen (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
368 Passes 210
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.02.2025 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) 5-1 HT 3-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) HOLK1
06.10.2024 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) HOLK1
09.03.2024 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) HOLK1

Heerenveen (K) 1-3 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen (K)
1 - 3
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
287 Passes 216
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Heerenveen (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) took care of Heerenveen (K) 3-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Heerenveen (K) at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (60%) landed.

On the day, possession split 56% to 44% in Heerenveen (K)'s favour, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Heerenveen (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.33 a game for Heerenveen (K) against 0.67 for Excelsior Barendrecht (K).

Heerenveen (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Result & Final Score

Heerenveen (K) 1 - 3 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Heerenveen (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Heerenveen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen (K) 67%, draw 17%, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 16%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Heerenveen (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heerenveen (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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