Telstar 4-2 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.23
Over
55%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.39
2-3
40%
1.87
4-5
25%
2.8
6+
12%
7.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.02
1/2
7%
23.0
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
16%
6.45
X/2
19%
5.53
X/X
12%
5.45
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
17%
3.18
2/X
6%
12.35
Value flag · X/2 at 5.53 — our 19% vs market 14.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Telstar The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles The Market 45%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.32 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.74
1.39 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.55
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
25.0 Crosses 18.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.47 xG 1.34
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
313 Passes 287
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.07.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Telstar Telstar HAZ
13.02.2021 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
10.11.2020 Telstar Telstar 1-2 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL2
02.08.2020 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-0 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HAZ
17.11.2019 Telstar Telstar 0-2 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL2
01.04.2019 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-3 HT 1-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
4-2
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
2.36 xG 2.38
39% Ball Possession 61%
20 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
215 Passes 396
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Telstar vs Go Ahead Eagles
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Telstar beat Go Ahead Eagles 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

Our pre-match lean was Go Ahead Eagles at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Go Ahead Eagles saw more of the ball, 61% to 39%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 2.36 to 2.38.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Go Ahead Eagles led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Telstar against 1.67 for Go Ahead Eagles.

Telstar vs Go Ahead Eagles Result & Final Score

Telstar 4-2 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Telstar vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Telstar 33%, draw 24%, Go Ahead Eagles 43%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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