Groningen 0-1 Feyenoord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
54%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
1.95
Over
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.69
No
41%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.39
2-3
40%
1.77
4-5
26%
3.3
6+
10%
12.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.03
1/2
13%
23.85
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1
8%
8.09
X/2
17%
4.65
X/X
10%
4.79
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.55
2/X
5%
12.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.85 — our 13% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Groningen The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Feyenoord The Market 53%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
0.89 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.80
1.44 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.98
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Great
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Strong
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.9
14.7 Crosses 17.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Groningen
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Feyenoord
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.55 xG 2.09
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
266 Passes 456
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 40
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.04.2025 Feyenoord Feyenoord 4-1 HT 2-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
14.09.2024 Groningen Groningen 2-2 HT 0-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
29.02.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-1 HT 0-1 Groningen Groningen HOK
04.03.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-0 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
15.01.2023 Groningen Groningen 0-3 HT 0-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
05.03.2022 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-1 HT 0-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Groningen
0-1
AWAY Feyenoord
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
349 Passes 382
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 22
REVIEW Groningen vs Feyenoord
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Feyenoord came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Groningen 1-0 on the road. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Feyenoord as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Groningen had 48% of the ball to Feyenoord's 52%, shots finished 12-11.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Groningen and 2.17 for Feyenoord.

Groningen vs Feyenoord Result & Final Score

Groningen 0-1 Feyenoord in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Groningen vs Feyenoord Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Groningen 26%, draw 20%, Feyenoord 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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