Yokohama FC 1-0 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.38
6+ Goals
9%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.66
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
17%
4.29
X/2
14%
7.69
X/X
10%
4.16
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
8%
6.48
2/X
10%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
Crosses 16.4
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 1.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
220 Passes 281
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
17.05.2025 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-1 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
25.11.2023 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
24.02.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-2 HT 2-1 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
23.10.2021 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-1 HT 0-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
15.05.2021 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
05.05.2021 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama FC
1-0
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
1.06 xG 0.97
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 9
109 Passes 419
53% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yokohama FC vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama FC squeezed past Shonan Bellmare 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yokohama FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Yokohama FC had 29% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 71%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.06 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Yokohama FC and 1.00 for Shonan Bellmare.

What was the final score of Yokohama FC vs Shonan Bellmare?

Yokohama FC 1-0 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama FC vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Yokohama FC 46%, draw 26%, Shonan Bellmare 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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