Milsami 2-1 CSF Balti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.72
Draw
33%
3.94
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.07
Over 2.5
42%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-13.3pp
33%
Draw
22%
+10.6pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milsami EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
2.03/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.81
+5% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milsami
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CSF Balti
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2025 CSF Balti CSF Balti 3-3 HT 3-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
03.05.2025 Milsami Milsami 5-0 HT 1-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
29.03.2025 CSF Balti CSF Balti 0-2 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
19.10.2024 CSF Balti CSF Balti 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
18.08.2024 Milsami Milsami 0-2 HT 0-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
27.04.2024 Milsami Milsami 3-0 HT 2-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milsami
2-1
AWAY CSF Balti
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Milsami vs CSF Balti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milsami squeezed past CSF Balti 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Milsami as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Milsami had 52% of the ball to CSF Balti's 48%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milsami had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Milsami and 0.83 for CSF Balti.

What was the final score of Milsami vs CSF Balti?

Milsami 2-1 CSF Balti in the Moldova - National League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milsami vs CSF Balti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milsami win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Milsami 41%, draw 33%, CSF Balti 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milsami), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Milsami) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MOLD More Moldova - National League
28 Sep 2025
15:00 Petrocub vs Sparta Selemet Analysis →