Petrocub 2-0 Sparta Selemet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
78%
1.11
Draw
18%
8.78
Away
4%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
59%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
1%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
1%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
78%
Home Win
85%
-7.2pp
18%
Draw
8%
+9.2pp
4%
Away Win
6%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Petrocub EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 9%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.83/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/3.62
+1% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -35%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
499 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Petrocub
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Sparta Selemet
4.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2025 Sparta Selemet 0-2 HT 0-2 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
18.05.2025 Sparta Selemet 0-6 HT 0-6 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
12.04.2025 Petrocub Petrocub 3-1 HT 1-1 Sparta Selemet MOLD
03.12.2023 Sparta Selemet 0-7 HT 0-2 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
30.09.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 3-2 HT 2-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Petrocub
2-0
AWAY Sparta Selemet
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Petrocub vs Sparta Selemet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Petrocub saw off Sparta Selemet 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Petrocub as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (70%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Petrocub had 68% of the ball to Sparta Selemet's 32%, shots finished 17-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Petrocub had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 4.20 goals for Petrocub and 0.60 for Sparta Selemet.

What was the final score of Petrocub vs Sparta Selemet?

Petrocub 2-0 Sparta Selemet in the Moldova - National League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Petrocub vs Sparta Selemet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Petrocub win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Petrocub 78%, draw 18%, Sparta Selemet 4%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Petrocub) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Petrocub) ✗ Over 2.5
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