Miedz Legnica 2-1 Znicz Pruszkow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.0
6+ Goals
13%
9.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.92/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.52
+7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miedz Legnica
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 2-1 HT 1-1 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
22.08.2024 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 4-0 HT 3-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
28.04.2024 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-2 HT 0-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
30.10.2023 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 1-1 HT 1-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miedz Legnica
2-1
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Miedz Legnica vs Znicz Pruszkow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miedz Legnica edged past Znicz Pruszkow 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Miedz Legnica as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Miedz Legnica had 41% of the ball to Znicz Pruszkow's 59%, shots finished 11-20.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Znicz Pruszkow led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Miedz Legnica and 1.25 for Znicz Pruszkow.

What was the final score of Miedz Legnica vs Znicz Pruszkow?

Miedz Legnica 2-1 Znicz Pruszkow in the Poland - 1st Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miedz Legnica vs Znicz Pruszkow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miedz Legnica win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Miedz Legnica 48%, draw 25%, Znicz Pruszkow 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Miedz Legnica), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Miedz Legnica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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