Belediye Derincespor 1-0 Arnavutköy Belediye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.06
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
30%
2.93
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.97
Over
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
46%
4-5
23%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Belediye Derincespor The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye The Market 34%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.60 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.39
0.99 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.44
Great Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belediye Derincespor
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye 0-0 HT 0-0 Belediye Derincespor Belediye Derincespor T2L-K
06.03.2024 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye 1-0 HT 0-0 Belediye Derincespor Belediye Derincespor S2-K
22.10.2023 Belediye Derincespor Belediye Derincespor 1-1 HT 1-1 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye T2L-K
20.09.2020 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye 2-2 HT 2-2 Belediye Derincespor Belediye Derincespor S3-1
REVIEW Belediye Derincespor vs Arnavutköy Belediye
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Belediye Derincespor shaded a tight game against Arnavutköy Belediye 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Belediye Derincespor as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arnavutköy Belediye led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.75 a game for Belediye Derincespor against 1.00 for Arnavutköy Belediye.

Belediye Derincespor vs Arnavutköy Belediye Result & Final Score

Belediye Derincespor 1 - 0 Arnavutköy Belediye in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Belediye Derincespor vs Arnavutköy Belediye Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Belediye Derincespor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Belediye Derincespor 44%, draw 26%, Arnavutköy Belediye 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belediye Derincespor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belediye Derincespor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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