Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
21%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
3.06
No
62%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
74%
-18.3pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.2pp
21%
Away Win
7%
+13.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
28%
+9.3pp
62%
BTTS No
72%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.84/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.96
+58% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +112%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 181 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
4W-2D-0L
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
03.03.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-0 HT 1-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
29.02.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-1 HT 1-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BULK
10.02.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-1 HT 1-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BULSK
28.05.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-2 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
24.05.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-3 HT 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BULK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
3-0
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad ran out comfortable winners over CSKA 1948 Sofia 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 56% of the ball to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 44%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.83 for CSKA 1948 Sofia.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 55%, draw 24%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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