Jablonec 2-1 Dukla Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Cup, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
30%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.96
No
44%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
26%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
14.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
59%
-12.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
17%
+12.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.1pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 21%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.42/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/3.45
+0% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / -38%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Dukla Prag
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.15 xG 1.32
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
364 Passes 246
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 14
32 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Jablonec Jablonec 0-0 HT 0-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
07.12.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 2-1 HT 2-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
10.08.2024 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-2 HT 0-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
14.04.2019 Jablonec Jablonec 2-1 HT 1-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
03.11.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-6 HT 0-3 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
23.02.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-1 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
2-1
AWAY Dukla Prag
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs Dukla Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec edged past Dukla Prag 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jablonec as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Jablonec had 49% of the ball to Dukla Prag's 51%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jablonec had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Jablonec and 0.67 for Dukla Prag.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs Dukla Prag?

Jablonec 2-1 Dukla Prag in the Czech Republic - Cup on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs Dukla Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 47%, draw 23%, Dukla Prag 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jablonec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEKK More Czech Republic - Cup
28 Oct 2025
16:00 Karvina vs Slovacko Analysis →