Heidenheim 0-1 Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 28 Oct 2025

Heidenheim
0-1 HT 0-0
Hamburg
📅28/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - DFB Cup – 2025/2026

Heidenheim vs Hamburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
45%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.15
Over
59%
1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
62%
1.51
No
38%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.37
2-3
38%
1.92
4-5
28%
3.02
6+
13%
9.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.61
1/2
10%
25.5
1/X
4%
12.25
X/1
6%
6.0
X/2
13%
6.03
X/X
13%
5.22
2/1
11%
25.5
2/2
22%
3.64
2/X
8%
12.25
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Heidenheim v Hamburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidenheim The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg The Market 40%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.93/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/2.20
+72% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -38%
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 79%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.8
11.0 Crosses 24.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.9

Heidenheim vs Hamburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidenheim
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Hamburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.70 xG 2.05
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
270 Passes 404
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.09.2025 Hamburg Hamburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
11.02.2023 Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-3 HT 3-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
06.08.2022 Hamburg Hamburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2
12.02.2022 Hamburg Hamburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2
28.08.2021 Heidenheim Heidenheim 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
20.03.2021 Hamburg Hamburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2

Heidenheim 0-1 Hamburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heidenheim
0-1
AWAY Hamburg
0.13 xG 2.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
241 Passes 373
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 23
5 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Heidenheim vs Hamburg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Hamburg nicked a narrow win over Heidenheim 1-0 on their travels. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Hamburg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Heidenheim had 43% of the ball to Hamburg's 57%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.13 to 2.25 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hamburg's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Heidenheim and 1.67 for Hamburg.

Heidenheim vs Hamburg Result & Final Score

Heidenheim 0-1 Hamburg in the Germany - DFB Cup on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Heidenheim vs Hamburg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 30%, draw 25%, Hamburg 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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