Wolfsburg 0-1 Holstein Kiel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 28 Oct 2025

Wolfsburg
0-1 HT 0-1
Holstein Kiel
📅28/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - DFB Cup – 2025/2026

Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.15
Over Pick
59%
1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.2
2-3
35%
1.89
4-5
28%
3.1
6+
14%
9.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.3
1/2 ✗
10%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
12%
4.49
X/2
10%
8.86
X/X
11%
5.58
2/1
6%
21.4
2/2
11%
6.5
2/X
6%
14.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 10% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Wolfsburg v Holstein Kiel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel The Market 27%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.22/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.61
+16% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
407 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
11.7 Crosses 17.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.5

Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Holstein Kiel
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.64 xG 0.66
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 Passes 298
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.01.2025 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-2 HT 0-1 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL1
31.08.2024 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 0-2 HT 0-2 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
14.07.2021 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel HAZ
21.05.2018 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1P
17.05.2018 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 3-1 HT 2-1 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL1P

Wolfsburg 0-1 Holstein Kiel — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg
0-1
AWAY Holstein Kiel
0.76 xG 1.72
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
387 Passes 381
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 19
6 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Holstein Kiel nicked a narrow win over Wolfsburg 1-0 away from home.

A gentle 46% lean on Wolfsburg didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.75, about 57% — so the upset beat the price as well as us. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, possession split 50% to 50% in Wolfsburg's favour, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.76 to 1.72.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.60 a game for Wolfsburg against 0.80 for Holstein Kiel.

Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel Result & Final Score

Wolfsburg 0-1 Holstein Kiel in the Germany - DFB Cup on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 46%, draw 23%, Holstein Kiel 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wolfsburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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