Holstein Kiel 0-2 Wolfsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 31 Aug 2024

Holstein Kiel
0-2 HT 0-2
Wolfsburg
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Holstein Kiel vs Wolfsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.02
6+ Goals
13%
9.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.07
1/2
6%
24.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
9%
6.3
X/2
10%
5.21
X/X
11%
5.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
28.5
2/2
27%
3.12
2/X
5%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 8% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.8pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Holstein Kiel v Wolfsburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
– Crosses 18.9
– Yellow Cards 2.2

Holstein Kiel vs Wolfsburg Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Wolfsburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
324 Passes 256
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.07.2021 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel HAZ
21.05.2018 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1P
17.05.2018 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 3-1 HT 2-1 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL1P

Holstein Kiel 0-2 Wolfsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holstein Kiel
0-2
AWAY Wolfsburg
1.10 xG 1.29
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
339 Passes 246
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 23
7 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel vs Wolfsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg saw off Holstein Kiel 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wolfsburg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Holstein Kiel had 54% of the ball to Wolfsburg's 46%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.10 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Holstein Kiel and 1.33 for Wolfsburg.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs Wolfsburg?

Holstein Kiel 0-2 Wolfsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel vs Wolfsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolfsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel 35%, draw 22%, Wolfsburg 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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