Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Hoffenheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.76
2-3 Goals
36%
2.04
4-5 Goals
30%
2.61
6+ Goals
15%
6.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.05
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
17%
4.27
X/2
10%
10.05
X/X
9%
6.65
2/1
7%
19.4
2/2
9%
6.52
2/X
8%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.0pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.9pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.88/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.88
-15% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
25.9 Crosses 15.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hoffenheim
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.10 xG 1.40
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
430 Passes 339
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
10.03.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 HT 1-1 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
21.10.2023 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-3 HT 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
06.05.2023 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 3-1 HT 3-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
09.11.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 4-2 HT 3-1 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
23.04.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 HT 1-1 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
04.12.2021 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 3-2 HT 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
3-1
AWAY Hoffenheim
2.39 xG 0.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
398 Passes 375
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
32 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hoffenheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt beat Hoffenheim 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eintracht Frankfurt as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt had 50% of the ball to Hoffenheim's 50%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.39 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eintracht Frankfurt had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 2.00 for Hoffenheim.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hoffenheim?

Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Hoffenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hoffenheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 51%, draw 23%, Hoffenheim 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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