Werder Bremen 0-0 Borussia Dortmund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
40%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
7.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.4
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
21.4
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
12%
8.14
X/2
7%
4.59
X/X
12%
5.63
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.44
2/X
7%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.4 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+9.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
40%
Away Win
49%
-9.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund EU Bookmakers 53%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.29/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.42
-9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +6%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 81%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
18.9 Crosses 14.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.89 xG 2.14
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
338 Passes 494
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-2 HT 0-2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
20.10.2023 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1-0 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
11.02.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 0-2 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
20.08.2022 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-3 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
18.04.2021 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 4-1 HT 3-1 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
15.12.2020 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-2 HT 1-1 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen
0-0
AWAY Borussia Dortmund
0.35 xG 0.63
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
367 Passes 460
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen and Borussia Dortmund fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Werder Bremen had 47% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund's 53%, shots finished 5-9, expected goals 0.35 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Werder Bremen and 2.17 for Borussia Dortmund.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund?

Werder Bremen 0-0 Borussia Dortmund in the Germany - Bundesliga on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund?

Before kick-off our model rated an Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen 36%, draw 24%, Borussia Dortmund 40%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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