Orlando Pirates 2-1 Magesi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - League Cup, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.22
2-3 Goals
47%
1.74
4-5 Goals
14%
4.96
6+ Goals
6%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
30%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.1pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Magesi EU Bookmakers 17%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
1.02/0.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.81
-54% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +150%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Magesi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.83 xG 1.13
65% Ball Possession 35%
24 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
404 Passes 196
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.12.2024 Magesi Magesi 0-1 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
19.10.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-3 Magesi Magesi GAFLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
2-1
AWAY Magesi
62% Ball Possession 38%
25 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs Magesi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates nicked a narrow win over Magesi 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 62% of the ball to Magesi's 38%, shots finished 25-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Orlando Pirates and 1.50 for Magesi.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs Magesi?

Orlando Pirates 2-1 Magesi in the South Afrika - League Cup on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs Magesi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 55%, draw 30%, Magesi 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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