Cardiff City U21 1-2 AFC Bournemouth U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
2.0
Draw
13%
3.8
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
Over Pick
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.35
No
45%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
33%
4-5
35%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
55%
Home Win
46%
+8.8pp
13%
Draw
23%
-10.0pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
70%
-14.9pp
45%
BTTS No
30%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City U21 The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Bournemouth U21 The Market 34%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +14%
1.68/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.70
-12% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City U21
0W-1D-3L
AWAY AFC Bournemouth U21
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
11.03.2025 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 4-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 INGPDL
03.12.2024 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
15.03.2024 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 0-2 HT 0-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
12.01.2024 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 3-2 HT 1-0 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Cardiff City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Bournemouth U21 nicked a narrow win over Cardiff City U21 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Cardiff City U21 carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, AFC Bournemouth U21 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cardiff City U21 and 2.25 for AFC Bournemouth U21.

What was the final score of Cardiff City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Cardiff City U21 1-2 AFC Bournemouth U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City U21 55%, draw 13%, AFC Bournemouth U21 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cardiff City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cardiff City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
INGPDL More England - Professional Development League
28 Oct 2025
16:00 Bristol City U21 vs Brentford U21 Analysis →
16:00 Huddersfield Town U21 vs Peterborough United U21 Analysis →
16:30 Millwall U21 vs Charlton Athletic U21 Analysis →