Al-Qadsiah 3-1 Al Hazm — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒17:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.18
Draw
15%
5.71
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
80%
-8.5pp
15%
Draw
14%
+0.5pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+8.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.3pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hazm EU Bookmakers 9%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.40/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/2.52
+18% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -95% / -31%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
465 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 80%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
35.1 Crosses 9.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Qadsiah
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Hazm
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.98 xG 2.21
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
314 Passes 165
74% Pass Accuracy 60%
28 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2019 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 2-2 HT 0-2 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
18.10.2018 Al Hazm Al Hazm 2-1 HT 1-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al-Qadsiah
3-1
AWAY Al Hazm
2.09 xG 0.39
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
487 Passes 282
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 9
34 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al-Qadsiah vs Al Hazm
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qadsiah beat Al Hazm 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al-Qadsiah as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al-Qadsiah had 62% of the ball to Al Hazm's 38%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.09 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Hazm led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al-Qadsiah and 2.00 for Al Hazm.

What was the final score of Al-Qadsiah vs Al Hazm?

Al-Qadsiah 3-1 Al Hazm in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Hazm?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Al-Qadsiah 71%, draw 15%, Al Hazm 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Qadsiah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SAKK More Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey
28 Oct 2025
17:50 Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Zulfi Analysis →
18:10 Al Akhdoud vs Al Hilal Riyadh Analysis →
21:00 Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Analysis →