Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Nassr v Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Team-Based Signals
Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-5
HT 1-2
Al Nassr
SUUD
Al Nassr 1-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ittihad-Jeddah squeezed past Al Nassr 2-1 away from home.
This one beat our numbers. Al Nassr carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Al Nassr had 67% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 33%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 1.38 to 0.86 — on chances, Al Nassr could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Al Nassr and 1.67 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.
What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?
Al Nassr 1-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 62%, draw 20%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 18%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Nassr) went the other way.