Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Nassr v Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Team-Based Signals
Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-5
HT 1-2
Al Nassr
SUUD
1-0
HT 0-0
Al Nassr
SUUD
3-1
HT 2-0
Al Nassr
SUUSK
Al Nassr 2-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics
Al Nassr nicked a narrow win over Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Al Nassr had 36% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 64%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.13 to 1.47.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Nassr and 2.17 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.
What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?
Al Nassr 2-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Super Cup on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 47%, draw 21%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.