Al Nassr 2-3 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.5
2-3 Goals
34%
2.01
4-5 Goals
28%
2.53
6+ Goals
12%
5.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-9.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.2pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.95/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.61
+16% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 79%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
25.8 Crosses 14.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.70 xG 1.02
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
425 Passes 300
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.12.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
27.05.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 4-2 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
26.12.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-5 HT 1-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
09.03.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
26.01.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUSK
02.10.2022 Al Nassr Al Nassr 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
2-3
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
1.65 xG 1.89
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
388 Passes 329
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah squeezed past Al Nassr 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Al Ittihad-Jeddah found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Nassr had 54% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 46%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.65 to 1.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Nassr and 1.67 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Al Nassr 2-3 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 38%, draw 28%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Nassr) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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