Al Raed 3-5 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.95
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
60%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
8.43
2-3 Goals
38%
2.38
4-5 Goals
27%
2.3
6+ Goals
14%
3.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
9%
+9.5pp
21%
Draw
12%
+8.3pp
61%
Away Win
78%
-18.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
24%
+18.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
76%
-18.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Raed EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 84%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
0.54/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/0.79
-52% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +12%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 84%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.7
9.4 Crosses 20.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Raed
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.59 xG 2.33
29% Ball Possession 71%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
189 Passes 583
71% Pass Accuracy 90%
9 Box Touches 39
8 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-2 HT 1-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
18.02.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
24.08.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
31.05.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-2 HT 2-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
10.01.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
13.03.2022 Al Raed Al Raed 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Raed
3-5
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
1.78 xG 1.98
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 9
286 Passes 553
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
22 Box Touches 41
7 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Raed vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh got the better of Al Raed 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Al Raed had 36% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 64%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.78 to 1.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Raed and 2.50 for Al Hilal Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Raed vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Raed 3-5 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Raed vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Raed 19%, draw 21%, Al Hilal Riyadh 61%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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