Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-2 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.29
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
52%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
3.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.32
No
37%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
8.64
2-3 Goals
34%
2.4
4-5 Goals
27%
2.3
6+ Goals
17%
3.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
5.04
1/2
6%
16.65
1/X
10%
13.45
X/1
7%
8.72
X/2 EV+ ✗
21%
5.19
X/X
9%
7.69
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
25%
2.28
2/X
6%
12.7
Value flag · X/2 at 5.19 — our 21% vs market 15.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
27%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.9pp
52%
Away Win
52%
+0.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
24%
+19.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
76%
-19.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
72%
-8.5pp
37%
BTTS No
28%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 56%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.23/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/0.93
+68% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
346 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 83%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.2
11.1 Crosses 22.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Nassr
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.41 xG 1.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
352 Passes 390
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2025 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUSK
07.05.2025 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-3 HT 2-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
06.12.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
27.05.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 4-2 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
26.12.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-5 HT 1-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
09.03.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
0-2
AWAY Al Nassr
1.27 xG 2.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
367 Passes 296
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr got the better of Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 55% of the ball to Al Nassr's 45%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 1.27 to 2.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 2.33 for Al Nassr.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Nassr?

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-2 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 23%, draw 25%, Al Nassr 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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