Al Akhdoud vs Al Hilal Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Akhdoud v Al Hilal Riyadh — Team-Based Signals
Al Akhdoud vs Al Hilal Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Al Hilal Riyadh
SUUD
Al Akhdoud 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics
Al Hilal Riyadh squeezed past Al Akhdoud 1-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Al Akhdoud had 31% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 69%, shots finished 3-14, expected goals 0.14 to 2.69 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Hilal Riyadh's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Al Akhdoud and 3.20 for Al Hilal Riyadh.
What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
Al Akhdoud 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 14%, draw 22%, Al Hilal Riyadh 64%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.