Fatsa Belediyespor 3-3 Van Spor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
34%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
27%
+14.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
47%
-12.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.4pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fatsa Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Van Spor FK EU Bookmakers 50%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.42/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.34
-1% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fatsa Belediyespor
3-3
AWAY Van Spor FK
59% Ball Possession 41%
35 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fatsa Belediyespor vs Van Spor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fatsa Belediyespor and Van Spor FK couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fatsa Belediyespor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fatsa Belediyespor had 59% of the ball to Van Spor FK's 41%, shots finished 35-9.

What was the final score of Fatsa Belediyespor vs Van Spor FK?

Fatsa Belediyespor 3-3 Van Spor FK in the Turkey - Cup on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fatsa Belediyespor vs Van Spor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fatsa Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fatsa Belediyespor 42%, draw 24%, Van Spor FK 35%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fatsa Belediyespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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