Kahramanmaraşspor 4-0 Ümraniyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kahramanmaraşspor EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 34%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
1.79/0.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+1% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kahramanmaraşspor
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Ümraniyespor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2021 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 3-1 HT 0-0 Kahramanmaraşspor Kahramanmaraşspor TÜK
31.01.2016 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 3-1 HT 0-1 Kahramanmaraşspor Kahramanmaraşspor S2-B
19.09.2015 Kahramanmaraşspor Kahramanmaraşspor 0-4 HT 0-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kahramanmaraşspor
4-0
AWAY Ümraniyespor
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 1
11 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Kahramanmaraşspor vs Ümraniyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kahramanmaraşspor ran out comfortable winners over Ümraniyespor 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Kahramanmaraşspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kahramanmaraşspor had 64% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 36%, shots finished 22-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ümraniyespor led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kahramanmaraşspor and 3.33 for Ümraniyespor.

What was the final score of Kahramanmaraşspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Kahramanmaraşspor 4-0 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - Cup on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kahramanmaraşspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kahramanmaraşspor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kahramanmaraşspor 39%, draw 26%, Ümraniyespor 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kahramanmaraşspor) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kahramanmaraşspor) ✗ Under 2.5
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