Kepezspor A.Ş 1-3 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-7.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kepezspor A.Ş EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +90% / -10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kepezspor A.Ş
1-3
AWAY Sivasspor
32% Ball Possession 68%
3 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kepezspor A.Ş vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor got the better of Kepezspor A.Ş 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sivasspor as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kepezspor A.Ş had 32% of the ball to Sivasspor's 68%, shots finished 3-17.

What was the final score of Kepezspor A.Ş vs Sivasspor?

Kepezspor A.Ş 1-3 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Cup on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kepezspor A.Ş vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kepezspor A.Ş 30%, draw 25%, Sivasspor 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sivasspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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