Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 4-3 Serik Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
21%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
46%
+8.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
21%
Away Win
27%
-6.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Serik Spor EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.
4-3
AWAY Serik Spor
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs Serik Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. edged past Serik Spor 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. had 55% of the ball to Serik Spor's 45%, shots finished 18-10.

What was the final score of Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs Serik Spor?

Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 4-3 Serik Spor in the Turkey - Cup on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs Serik Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 55%, draw 24%, Serik Spor 21%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TÜK More Turkey - Cup
28 Oct 2025
13:00 Kepezspor A.Ş vs Sivasspor Analysis →
13:30 Dersimspor vs Fethiyespor Analysis →
13:30 Fatsa Belediyespor vs Van Spor FK Analysis →
13:30 Kahramanmaraşspor vs Ümraniyespor Analysis →
15:30 52 Orduspor FK vs Sarıyer Analysis →
18:00 Sakaryaspor vs İnegölspor Analysis →