Sakaryaspor 4-0 İnegölspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.2pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.6pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY İnegölspor EU Bookmakers 24%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.55/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakaryaspor
3W-1D-0L
AWAY İnegölspor
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
60% Ball Possession 40%
29 Total Shots 5
14 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2022 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-2 HT 1-2 İnegölspor İnegölspor S2-K
23.10.2021 İnegölspor İnegölspor 0-5 HT 0-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2-K
03.04.2019 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 3-1 HT 2-0 İnegölspor İnegölspor S2-B
11.11.2018 İnegölspor İnegölspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakaryaspor
4-0
AWAY İnegölspor
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sakaryaspor vs İnegölspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sakaryaspor ran out comfortable winners over İnegölspor 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sakaryaspor as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sakaryaspor had 51% of the ball to İnegölspor's 49%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sakaryaspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Sakaryaspor and 0.75 for İnegölspor.

What was the final score of Sakaryaspor vs İnegölspor?

Sakaryaspor 4-0 İnegölspor in the Turkey - Cup on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakaryaspor vs İnegölspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sakaryaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sakaryaspor 49%, draw 27%, İnegölspor 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sakaryaspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sakaryaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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