Xinabajul 2-0 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 28 Nov 2024

📅28/11/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.7pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.34/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.23
+6% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xinabajul
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Malacateco
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
14.10.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 3-1 HT 1-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
04.03.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 3-1 HT 2-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
05.02.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 1-1 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
25.09.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 2-1 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
20.08.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 3-1 HT 1-1 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
23.04.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 3-0 HT 3-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
POST-MATCH Xinabajul vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xinabajul got the better of Malacateco 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Xinabajul as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xinabajul had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Xinabajul and 1.67 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Xinabajul vs Malacateco?

Xinabajul 2-0 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 28/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xinabajul vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xinabajul win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Xinabajul 43%, draw 24%, Malacateco 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xinabajul), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Xinabajul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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