Cesena 1-0 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 28 Nov 2025

Cesena
1-0 HT 1-0
Modena
📅28/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Cesena vs Modena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.54
Over
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.97
No
48%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.36
2-3
43%
1.77
4-5
19%
4.9
6+
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.76
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
10%
13.65
X/1
12%
6.23
X/2
14%
5.3
X/X
19%
3.67
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
14%
3.69
2/X
6%
13.3
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Cesena v Modena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena The Market 40%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.13/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.06
-24% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
16.1 Crosses 17.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Cesena vs Modena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Modena
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.16 xG 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
366 Passes 421
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.05.2025 Modena Modena 0-1 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
13.09.2024 Cesena Cesena 2-2 HT 2-1 Modena Modena İTB
07.02.2022 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 1-0 Cesena Cesena İTC
28.09.2021 Cesena Cesena 1-2 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTC
21.03.2021 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTC
29.11.2020 Cesena Cesena 0-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTC

Cesena 1-0 Modena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
1-0
AWAY Modena
1.79 xG 2.10
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 8
313 Passes 450
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 36
17 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Cesena vs Modena
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cesena found just enough to beat Modena 1-0.

The model refused to pick a side here (30% / 35% / 35%); Cesena picked one for it. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Modena saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.79 to 2.10.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modena led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Cesena against 1.00 for Modena.

Cesena vs Modena Result & Final Score

Cesena 1-0 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cesena vs Modena Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Cesena 30%, draw 35%, Modena 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (30/35/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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