Kapfenberger SV 1-2 Austria Wien II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.08
6+ Goals
12%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.11
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
11%
5.27
X/2
9%
6.67
X/X
10%
5.14
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
24.45
2/2
19%
4.48
2/X
5%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.5pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.7pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Wien II EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
2.23/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.27
+40% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
12.9 Crosses 15.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapfenberger SV
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Austria Wien II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 4-2 HT 2-1 Austria Wien II Austria Wien II AU2
05.08.2022 Austria Wien II Austria Wien II 2-2 HT 0-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
06.05.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 5-1 HT 4-1 Austria Wien II Austria Wien II AU2
30.10.2021 Austria Wien II Austria Wien II 1-3 HT 1-2 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
02.04.2021 Austria Wien II Austria Wien II 1-2 HT 0-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
03.10.2020 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-0 HT 0-0 Austria Wien II Austria Wien II AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kapfenberger SV
1-2
AWAY Austria Wien II
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kapfenberger SV vs Austria Wien II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien II squeezed past Kapfenberger SV 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kapfenberger SV at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kapfenberger SV had 49% of the ball to Austria Wien II's 51%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kapfenberger SV had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Kapfenberger SV and 1.17 for Austria Wien II.

What was the final score of Kapfenberger SV vs Austria Wien II?

Kapfenberger SV 1-2 Austria Wien II in the Austria - 1st Division on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapfenberger SV vs Austria Wien II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kapfenberger SV win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kapfenberger SV 46%, draw 20%, Austria Wien II 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kapfenberger SV) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kapfenberger SV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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