WSPG Wels 1-1 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 28 Nov 2025

WSPG Wels
1-1 HT 0-0
St. Pölten
📅28/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2025/2026

WSPG Wels vs St. Pölten Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.97
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.66
6+ Goals
7%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 31% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.47
1/2
4%
26.5
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
7.3
X/2
9%
4.89
X/X
12%
4.43
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
30%
2.92
2/X
6%
12.9
Value flag · X/1 at 7.3 — our 18% vs market 10.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.1pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

WSPG Wels v St. Pölten — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME WSPG Wels EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 49%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
0.25/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.26
-80% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
– Crosses 17.5
– Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH WSPG Wels vs St. Pölten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

WSPG Wels and St. Pölten couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was St. Pölten at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

What was the final score of WSPG Wels vs St. Pölten?

WSPG Wels 1-1 St. Pölten in the Austria - 1st Division on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for WSPG Wels vs St. Pölten?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split WSPG Wels 33%, draw 25%, St. Pölten 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (St. Pölten), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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